Having reversed from 50-DMA, EURUSD dropped beneath the 20-DMA and made seller’s way clear for a battle with a six-week-old support line, around 1.1260. However, cautious sentiment ahead of the key data/events tests the pair’s further downside. Even so, bearish MACD signals and a steady RSI line keep sellers hopeful to revisit the 2021 bottom surrounding 1.1185. Following that, March 2020 swing lows surrounding 1.1150 and 61.8% FE of November’s low near 1.1120 will be in focus.
Meanwhile, the corrective pullback will aim for the 20-DMA level near 1.1310, a break of which will direct EURUSD buyers towards the 50-DMA level close to 1.1370. Also acting as the resistance is the recent peak of 1.1388 and a four-month-old resistance line around 1.1420. It’s worth noting, however, that a clear break of 1.1420 will open doors for the pair’s run-up towards September’s low surrounding 1.1525, which in turn will dash the bearish trend.
